Brexit: Will Britain Perish?

Politics is not mathematics. You cannot compute exactly the consequences of a Brexit. There are several legitimate views on that. In camp and Out camp in Britain are leading a war of arguments these days. The Remain campaign is drawing a horror scenario if Britain gets out of the EU. Let’s take a closer look at the validity of some of these allegations.

If Britain leaves the EU, the first and foremost question would be if Britain nevertheless can participate in the common European market some way. The Remain campaign argues that if Britain leaves, it would took a decade to negotiate a new trade agreement with the EU. In the meantime the British economy was seeing a phase of insecurity. If we look at the realities in Europe then we are to assume that the EU commission will try to avoid such insecurity despite warnings that EU commission wants to punish Britain. I think within a few years Britain could get duty-free access to the European market again. Certainly, Britain will have to make concessions to obtain this goal, but the British ship will not sink as fear-mongerers from the Remain campaign are insinuating.

Next problem is the job question. Indeed, leaving the EU could cost Britain some jobs, but also being in the EU empirically costs jobs. It’s crucial how you analyse the situation and the prospects. To be open, nobody is able to really predict what will happen. To take an optimistic stance, it is quite possible that a Britain outside the EU experiences a mental and economic boom. When you have to stand on your own feet again, you possibly unleash new power to deal with problems.

On the other hand, Britain will see severe problems concerning foreign relations. A Brexit will disrupt the meticulously negotiated diplomatic network between European states. Also the United States will be not amused if Britain is no more a part of the EU. British power and recognition could diminish because Britain is no part of big EU anymore. Nevertheless, the world will get accustomed to an independent Britain and if its power really diminishes in fact depends on British politics and the role it choses to compensate lacking influence within the EU. Surely, an independent Britain will confound European politics but this needn’t be harmful to a fossilized continent. Risks are not necessarily a bad thing, but if you an adherent of stability at any price, you will assess the situation differently.

If I were British, I would vote in favour of EU. Britain has so much advantages from being a member of the EU and is already playing a special role. Britain for example doesn’t take part in the Schengen treaty, so that it has nearly full control over its borders.On the other hand, it is absurd to draw doomsday scenarios if Britain is leaving the EU. It will survive. If better or worser in the end, nobody really knows because politics even is not mathematics.

by Dr. Christian Weilmeier


What Brexit Could Mean For EU

In a few weeks the referendum about Britain leaving the EU or not will take place. In my opinion Cameron had taken the right decision to hold this referendum, because only this way there is the slightest chance to get this topic off the table once and forever.

What would happen, if Britain really decides to leave the EU? A lot of observers think, that in this case other countries will leave EU, too. This would weaken or even destroy EU. In fact this is possible, but not necessarily. On the contrary, a Brexit could act as a stimulant for EU leaders and as a consequence they embark on decisive reforms to prove the idea of European unification ist not dead. You can already hear this from some influential members of EU parliament. Without British cherry picking EU was finally able to intensify cooperation, let’s say with creating a European army.

It is true that with Britain an important net contributor would leave EU and this could harm financial stability within EU and hamper its development. But you never know what really is the case. Nevertheless it is important to stay open-minded and not to confine ones thinking to too common opinions.

by Dr. Christian Weilmeier

Wie man es zum richtigen Verlierer bringt – Erfolg kann doch jeder

Erfolgreich sein kann doch jeder. So bringt man es aber zum richtigen Verlierer. Dr. Christian Weilmeier, Philosoph und Motivationstrainer, gibt Tipps, wie man es schafft, dass es steil abwärts geht, man alles verbockt und am Schluss als echte Niete dasteht.

Zum Video:


Achtung Comedy!


BRUSSELS BUBBLE: What Does a Fiscal Union Mean for Europe?

Link to YouTube Video:


EU schürt Angst vor Euro-Austritt Griechenlands

Die EU-Kommission schürt jetzt kräftig die Angst vor einem Euro-Austritt Griechenlands. Das wäre gaaanz schlimm, so heißt es. Die Drachme würde total absacken gegenüber dem Euro-Rest. Kann schon sein, darum ist es vielleicht besser, wenn wir gleich alle aus dem Euro austreten und das intellektuelle Experiment auf dem Rücken der Bürger beenden.



EU Member States Say No to a German Europe – Merkel`s Plans in Abeyance

One of the main objectives of European Unification is detaining Germany, put it Wall Street Journal Commentator Irwin Stelzer. Superficially seen, Germany widened its influence in the course of financial crisis. German Chancellor Angela Merkel tries to align the EU with German economic standards as part of the effort to handle systemic repercussions of financial crisis.

Irwin Stelzer argues that this would create a German Europe. In my book this is wrong, because German propositions result in growing power of EU central institutions. Maybe these institutions then smack of German economic standards, but Germany as a nation state cannot benefit from this. Therefore Merkel is now confronted with growing resistance in German parliament. Politcians there belief that German standards in fact will erode in the EU over the years and this is why they are not very fond of introducing more central EU power.



Wall Street Journal: Europe´s Not Playing Ball With Merkel



Merkel Seeks Concessions in End of the Week’s EU Summit

German Chancellor Angela Merkel seeks concessions from EU partners in end of the week’s EU summit. European leaders there will discuss how the Euro could be saved and how a robust regime for European economies could be created. According to The Wall Street Journal, it boils down to a kind of “European Economy Government”. The newspaper learned from high German officials, that “Merkel wants to give teeth to EU rules”.

Merkel puts forward automatic sanctions for those countries which are in a debt trap. The German chancellor wants to attain a comprehensive solution which could result in a so-called European Economic Government. This new institution could be able to control national fiscal policy and harmonize social standards. This will be a massive encroachment on national sovereignty and will diminish influence of national democracy without having yet a European equivalent.


The Wall Street Journal